winningracingtips

The third maximum stake bet of the month Alhabeeb came in yesterday at 6/1 (5/1 advised) to record a much needed 1st win of the month. This race was notable for the market which was amazingly in favour of the each way bet on Alhabeeb. According to the market (and my analysis) there were only three horses that could win, the rest of the horses were priced at 250 or over on Betfair! This effectively made any of the top three “bankers” to place and at a nice each way friendly 5/1 Alhabeeb was a a prefect example of an “Each Way Steal”. The place price on Betfair was down as low as 1.26 on Betfair, and whilst the win price drifted to 12.0, this was more likely due to people laying off the win part of their each way bet in order to maximise their place profit as described in the Value Horse Method rather than an accurate reflection of its win chances, as I thought this was the case I added to my each way bet with a small additional win bet!

Today’s horse Magical Wonderland went on to win its race, but will not be included in my results as the withdrawal of the race favourite made our horse the new favourite with an SP of 7/4 - not a feasible each way price. Congratulations if you let your bet ride rather than lay off and won on the race! In this instance it is not the end of the world if you let your bet stand as the selection is likely to have better win chances anyway without the favourite running so the Rule 4 imposed would simply reflect the new chances, the only problem would have been if the runners had been reduced below 8, but that is another issue which I’ve already covered.

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